Start 02.09.2019 - End 29.02.2020

Extended deterrence in Europe and Northeast Asia: A comparative approach

The Embassy of Japan in Belgium and the IES conclude a contract for holding an expert workshop and a public conference "Extended deterrence in Europe and Northeast Asia: A comparative approach" and making a publication of policy paper.

One of the most visible and fundamental features that the European and East Asian security landscapes have in common is the role that the United States plays as the ultimate security guarantor. The United States has the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) in Europe and a series of bilateral security treaties in East Asia, with the US-Japan alliance being the most prominent. The need to maintain and enhance the credibility of extended deterrence by the United States looks obvious for US allies, but it is equally important for the United States since the US-led international order—from which Washington benefits a great deal—is based on the maintenance of the European and Northeast Asian alliance structures that undergird it. 

The return of great power competition in Europe and East Asia raises questions about the future of (extended) deterrence in both regions. Notably, dwindling US resources and the return of great power competition across more than one front compel Washington to think more strategically about how to prioritize between Europe and Northeast Asia. Against that backdrop, how can allies in Europe and East Asia strengthen deterrence in their respective regions? What are the similarities, differences and possible connections between US alliances in Europe and Northeast Asia? Is the credibility of U.S. military protection for European allies connected with that for Asian allies? What are the perceptions of credibility of US extended deterrence that abound in Europe and Northeast Asia? 

Policy paper to be published by 15 Jan 2020.

Funded by

Japanese Embassy